When will jadeite increase in price? I hope the ups and downs are as you wish.

In a word: if the price of jadeite rises, it is as you wish; if the price of jadeite falls, it is as you wish. It's just that everyone has a different stance and perspective.

Nowadays, there are many friends on the Internet who are concerned about the price increase of jadeite. Most of them are born in the 1980s and 1990s, and they may not be familiar with the situation in the past.

Briefly explain

As we all know, Qianlong and Cixi were hardcore jadeite fans, which means that jadeite was vigorously promoted and popularized during the Qing Dynasty, and it went from the royal family to ordinary people. During the Ming and Qing dynasties, Menggong in Myanmar and Tengchong in China were both important trading centers.

After the British colonization, jade was still contracted and mined by people from Yunnan and sold to the mainland. This period did not have much impact on the development of jade.

After Japan invaded Myanmar, the mining and operation of jade basically stopped.

Gold in troubled times, jade in prosperous times. No matter how good the jade is, it will not be very popular during this period. When fleeing, even if you have a priceless treasure in your hand, it is possible that you can only exchange it for a bowl of rice to fill your stomach.

From the liberation in 1949 to before the reform and opening up, this period was a time of disrepair and opposition to extravagance and waste. From a commercial perspective, the jade industry came to a standstill (of course, Tengchong still has state-authorized purchasing points). In that era, food and clothing were already a problem, so who would still sell or play with jade? My personal collection is kept secret. During this period, the jade trading center shifted to Chiang Mai, Thailand.

It was only after the reform and opening up that it gradually developed. There was a big wave of development from the late 1980s to the early 1990s, and the trading centers were Ruili, Yingjiang in our area and Tengchong in Baoshan.

Affected by the Asian financial crisis in 1997, most of our border trade companies engaged in jadeite have closed down. As we all know, after 2000, the economy began to develop rapidly, and jade also took advantage of this trend. It started to rise in 2002 and continued to rise in 2012. During this 10-year golden period, many people got rich quickly. Most people understand these. During this period, the focus of the jade industry shifted to Guangdong. Aren’t there five major trading centers now? Here, only Ruili still counts as a city, while Tengchong has been sidelined.

The development of the times is not subject to personal will.

Will it continue to rise? That is to say, it has skyrocketed before, mainly from 2008 to 2012. Twelve years later, affected by the anti-corruption campaign and the overall economic situation, the jade industry, like other luxury consumer products, fell into decline until today.

From a period of time, it is normal for any industry to have ups and downs. This is the law of economics.

Will it increase in the future? It is safe to say that it will! But no one knows when it will rise, especially when it will rise sharply.

Jade has been the representative of jade culture since the Qing Dynasty until now. As long as conditions permit, I believe that most families would think about collecting one or several pieces of jade jewelry. Jade has been deeply rooted in people's hearts and the demand will not disappear. As economic conditions improve, the demand will only grow.

The origin of jewelry-grade jadeite is Myanmar, and control will only become stricter in the future. In the near future, Myanmar will engage in processing and upgrading itself, and the amount of raw materials entering China will become less and less, and the supply will be strangled.

As we all know, jade is non-renewable. The more you dig, the less it will become until it is exhausted. This is inevitable.

For now, it is undeniable that a lot of raw materials have come over in the past few years, and it needs to be digested. Currently, the prices of high-end jade have not dropped much, but the prices of mid- and low-end jade have dropped significantly, especially the low-end, which has dropped by more than half.

Will it continue to drop? Personally, I think it won’t drop anymore, it should have reached the bottom. It has been six years since 2012. Whether we say that prices have returned to rationality or that they are affected by the economic downturn, they should have bottomed out and are gradually recovering.

As the saying goes, gold in troubled times, collection in prosperous times.

Now we are in a great era, an era of struggle. Think about it, there will be no poor people in the future, everyone will be rich, won’t the demand become greater and greater?

Those who work in the jade industry will know that it is just talk when they say gold has a price but jade is priceless. The jade in someone’s hand has no cost, right? Wool materials, especially good ones, are not easy to find! The current situation is that flour is more expensive than bread. Is this normal?

After all, jade is easy to collect. If it cannot be sold, no one will lose much money by dumping it. At worst, the worst thing to do is to keep the goods as a collection and switch to other careers. There are costs for raw materials, processing and marketing. At present, we are close to the lower limit.

When will it rise? It happens without your noticing. But we have to believe that the rise is certain and inevitable. As the Chinese people are becoming richer and richer and have solved the problems of food, clothing, housing and transportation, it is imperative for them to enjoy spiritual life and to be cultured.

Inflation is coming, how can it not rise?

With per capita income exceeding 10,000 US dollars, how can it not increase?

If one day Myanmar is in a bad mood and simply closes the mountains and mines and prohibits mining, how can the price not rise?

Again, things are valuable because they are rare.

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